当网络的速度快到能在瞬间完成一部DVD电影的下载的时候，你还会去买DVD吗？阿尔卡特的发言人的回答是不。有人说这种说法太可笑了，如果DVD要消失，那也是在书籍消失以后。但是更多的人指出这个比喻太过糟糕。人们不会淘汰书籍是因为喜欢享受纸的质感，不喜欢面对荧光屏。而对于DVD来说并没有这种区别，无论是观看买来的DVD或者是网络上播放的电影，面对的都是令人厌倦的荧光屏。想想看你的cd机，在mp3越来越流行的今天，她还有用武之地吗？你最近又买了多少cd呢？我自己已经很久没有买cd了...

DVD facing an early grave
Video downloading will kill off the 'passive' format, claims Alcatel chief
The DVD format will be nothing more than a flash in the pan, according to the chief executive of Alcatel.

Speaking at the opening of the Alcatel Forum in Paris, Serge Tchuruk told delegates that cheap and widely available broadband services will sound the death knell for the popular storage medium.

Recent network price drops are just the start of a longer term trend that would see video downloading kill off the DVD, he claimed.

"The DVD will be short lived," said Tchuruk. "This kind of video was a passive exercise. Today things need to be much more interactive."

He added that, while the price of broadband had halved in the past two years, capacity has increased fivefold. This is going to drive a wave of data services, both mobile and fixed, through what Tchuruk described as "user-centric broadband".

As a result telecoms companies will have to shift from being voice dominated to concentrating on services to generate revenue. Tchuruk added that voice still accounts for more than 70 per cent of telecoms revenues.

However, it is in the mobile services that Tchuruk sees most promise. Delegates were told that mobile voice and data services had a two or three times price premium compared to fixed services.